巢湖学院学报 ›› 2020, Vol. 22 ›› Issue (3): 64-71.doi: 10.12152/j.issn.1672-2868.2020.03.009

• 经济与管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

货币政策对系统性金融风险的影响分析

查海峰:安徽财经大学,金融学院   

  1. 安徽财经大学,金融学院
  • 收稿日期:2020-01-16 出版日期:2020-05-25 发布日期:2020-08-18
  • 通讯作者: 查海峰(1997-),男,安徽合肥人,安徽财经大学金融学院硕士研究生,主要从事风险管理研究。
  • 作者简介:查海峰(1997-),男,安徽合肥人,安徽财经大学金融学院硕士研究生,主要从事风险管理研究。
  • 基金资助:
    安徽财经大学研究生科研创新基金项目(项目编号:ACYC2019126)

Analysis of the Impact of Monetary Policy on Systemic Financial Risks

ZHA Hai-feng   

  1. School of Finance, Anhui University of Finance and Economics
  • Received:2020-01-16 Online:2020-05-25 Published:2020-08-18
  • Contact: ZHA Hai-feng:School of Finance, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Bengbu Anhui 233030
  • About author:ZHA Hai-feng:School of Finance, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Bengbu Anhui 233030
  • Supported by:
    ACYC2019126

摘要: 在国际金融环境和金融市场变幻莫测的情况下,防范系统性金融风险成为各国政府重要研究课题。文章通过构建系统性金融风险指标体系,运用向量自回归模型(VAR)研究不同类型的货币政策对我国系统性金融风险的影响程度。研究结果表明:“数量型”货币政策对系统性金融风险具有正向的冲击效应,在积极的货币政策下,市场货币供应量的增多容易造成系统性金融风险集聚;“价格型”货币政策对系统性金融风险具有负向的冲击作用,通过调节利率对系统性金融风险产生不同程度(上升或下降)的影响。因此,协调搭配运用“数量型”“价格型”货币政策工具有助于守住不发生系统性金融风险,稳定金融市场。

关键词: 货币政策, 系统性金融风险, 向量自回归模型

Abstract: In the context of the ever-changing international financial environment and financial markets, preventing systemic financial risks has become an important research topic for governments of various countries. By constructing a systemic financial risk indicator system, this article mainly uses the vector autoregressive model VARto study the impact of different types of monetary policies on China忆s systemic financial risk. The research results show that:"quantity" monetary policy has a positive impact on systemic financial risks. Under the active monetary policy, the increase of market money supply is likely to cause the accumulation of systemic financial risks; "price" monetary policy has a negative impact on systemic financial risks. By adjusting interest rates, systemic financial risks will have varying degrees of impact up or down. Therefore, it is found that the coordinated use of "quantity" and "price" monetary policy tools can help to prevent systemic financial risks and stabilize financial markets.

Key words: monetary policy, systemic financial risk, vector autoregressive model

中图分类号: 

  • F830