巢湖学院学报 ›› 2019, Vol. 21 ›› Issue (4): 64-69+104.doi: 10.12152/j.issn.1672-2868.2019.04.010
摘要：基于区域差异考虑城镇化水平对房价的影响，采用70 个大中城市2014—2017 年的相关数据，利用面板回归方法对房价水平进行实证分析，结果表明：城镇化水平和房地产投资总额对房价水平产生显著的正向影响，但区域差异很大，而居民消费价格指数对房价水平影响始终不显著。其中东部地区城镇化水平和房价预期显著正向影响房价水平，而房地产投资总额影响却不显著；中部地区城镇化水平对房价的影响不显著，而西部地区城镇化水平对房价水平产生显著的负向影响，中西部地区房地产投资总额和房价预期对房价水平产生显著影响；东北地区除房价预期以外影响都不显著。最后考虑城镇化水平和区域差异提出稳定房价的政策措施。
Abstract: The paper studies the impact of urbanization level on housing prices based on regional differences. Using the data from 2014 to 2017 in 70 large and medium-sized cities, using panel regression method to empirically analyze housing prices, the results show that urbanization level and total real estate investment have a significant impact on housing prices, but the regional differences are large. The impact of the consumer price index on housing prices is not significant. The urbanization level and housing price in the eastern region are expected to positively affect the housing price level, while the impact of total real estate investment is not significant; however, the urbanization level in the central region has no significant impact on housing prices, while the urbanization level in the western region has a significant but negative impact on housing prices. The total real estate investment and housing prices in the central and western regions have a significant impact on housing prices; the Northeast region#br# has no significant impact other than housing price expectations. Finally, considering the level of urbanization and regional differences, policy measures to stabilize housing prices are proposed.#br#
摘要： 摘要：基于区域差异考虑城镇化水平对房价的影响，采用70 个大中城市2014—2017 年的相关数据，利用面板回归方法对房价水平进行实证分析，结果表明：城镇化水平和房地产投资总额对房价水平产生显著的正向影响，但区域差异很大，而居民消费价格指数对房价水平影响始终不显著。其中东部地区城镇化水平和房价预期显著正向影响房价水平，而房地产投资总额影响却不显著；中部地区城镇化水平对房价的影响不显著，而西部地区城镇化水平对房价水平产生显著的负向影响，中西部地区房地产投资总额和房价预期对房价水平产生显著影响；东北地区除房价预期以外影响都不显著。最后考虑城镇化水平和区域差异提出稳定房价的政策措施。
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