巢湖学院学报 ›› 2019, Vol. 21 ›› Issue (4): 64-69+104.doi: 10.12152/j.issn.1672-2868.2019.04.010

• 经济与管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

地区差异下的城镇化水平对房价水平的影响研究

摘要:基于区域差异考虑城镇化水平对房价的影响,采用70 个大中城市2014—2017 年的相关数据,利用面板回归方法对房价水平进行实证分析,结果表明:城镇化水平和房地产投资总额对房价水平产生显著的正向影响,但区域差异很大,而居民消费价格指数对房价水平影响始终不显著。其中东部地区城镇化水平和房价预期显著正向影响房价水平,而房地产投资总额影响却不显著;中部地区城镇化水平对房价的影响不显著,而西部地区城镇化水平对房价水平产生显著的负向影响,中西部地区房地产投资总额和房价预期对房价水平产生显著影响;东北地区除房价预期以外影响都不显著。最后考虑城镇化水平和区域差异提出稳定房价的政策措施。
  

  1. 安徽建筑大学经济与管理学院,安徽 合肥 230601
  • 收稿日期:2019-05-29 出版日期:2019-07-25 发布日期:2019-07-25
  • 通讯作者: 彭志胜(1976-),男,安徽桐城人,安徽建筑大学经济与管理学院教授,硕导,博士,主要从事房地产经济与管理研究。
  • 作者简介:彭志胜(1976-),男,安徽桐城人,安徽建筑大学经济与管理学院教授,硕导,博士,主要从事房地产经济与管理研究。
  • 基金资助:
    安徽省高校人文社会科学研究重大项目(项目编号:SK2016SD17);安徽省社科规划一般项目(项目编号:AHSKY2016D96)

The Influence of Urbanization Level on the Housing Price Level under the Regional Differences

Abstract: The paper studies the impact of urbanization level on housing prices based on regional differences. Using the data from 2014 to 2017 in 70 large and medium-sized cities, using panel regression method to empirically analyze housing prices, the results show that urbanization level and total real estate investment have a significant impact on housing prices, but the regional differences are large. The impact of the consumer price index on housing prices is not significant. The urbanization level and housing price in the eastern region are expected to positively affect the housing price level, while the impact of total real estate investment is not significant; however, the urbanization level in the central region has no significant impact on housing prices, while the urbanization level in the western region has a significant but negative impact on housing prices. The total real estate investment and housing prices in the central and western regions have a significant impact on housing prices; the Northeast region#br# has no significant impact other than housing price expectations. Finally, considering the level of urbanization and regional differences, policy measures to stabilize housing prices are proposed.#br#   

  1. School of Economics and Management, Anhui Jianzhu University, Hefei Anhui 230601
  • Received:2019-05-29 Online:2019-07-25 Published:2019-07-25

摘要: 摘要:基于区域差异考虑城镇化水平对房价的影响,采用70 个大中城市2014—2017 年的相关数据,利用面板回归方法对房价水平进行实证分析,结果表明:城镇化水平和房地产投资总额对房价水平产生显著的正向影响,但区域差异很大,而居民消费价格指数对房价水平影响始终不显著。其中东部地区城镇化水平和房价预期显著正向影响房价水平,而房地产投资总额影响却不显著;中部地区城镇化水平对房价的影响不显著,而西部地区城镇化水平对房价水平产生显著的负向影响,中西部地区房地产投资总额和房价预期对房价水平产生显著影响;东北地区除房价预期以外影响都不显著。最后考虑城镇化水平和区域差异提出稳定房价的政策措施。

关键词: 关键词:城镇化水平, 房价水平, 区域差异

Abstract: Abstract: The paper studies the impact of urbanization level on housing prices based on regional differences. Using the data from 2014 to 2017 in 70 large and medium-sized cities, using panel regression method to empirically analyze housing prices, the results show that urbanization level and total real estate investment have a significant impact on housing prices, but the regional differences are large. The impact of the consumer price index on housing prices is not significant. The urbanization level and housing price in the eastern region are expected to positively affect the housing price level, while the impact of total real estate investment is not significant; however, the urbanization level in the central region has no significant impact on housing prices, while the urbanization level in the western region has a significant but negative impact on housing prices. The total real estate investment and housing prices in the central and western regions have a significant impact on housing prices; the Northeast region
has no significant impact other than housing price expectations. Finally, considering the level of urbanization and regional differences, policy measures to stabilize housing prices are proposed.

Key words: Key words: urbanization level, housing price level, regional differences

中图分类号: 

  • F299.23