Journal of Chaohu University ›› 2019, Vol. 21 ›› Issue (3): 23-27.doi: 10.12152/j.issn.1672-2868.2019.03.004
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Abstract: Bayes estimation of reliability of two-component cold standby system is given. On this basis, we discuss the Bayes hypothesis and Jeffreys priori for the non-informative priori distribution of hyper-parameters, then the multi-layer Bayes estimation of the system reliability is given. The accuracy of multi-layer Bayes estimation under the two kinds of hyper-parametric prior distributions is compared by the example. We also compare the accuracy of Bayes estimation and multi -layer Bayes estimation. Finally, the rationality of multi -layer Bayes estimation is explained.#br#