Taking Hefei metropolitan area as the research area, the evaluation index systems of ecological economy
and tourism economy are constructed respectively. The development index and coupling coordination degree of the
two systems from 2016 to 2020 are measured and analyzed by global entropy method, comprehensive index evaluat
ion model and coupling coordination degree model, and then the development trend of coupling coordination degree
is predicted by GM(1,1)model. The results show that from 2016 to 2019, the growth trends of the average development indices of the two systems in Hefei metropolitan area are similar, while those of the average development indices of the two systems are opposite in 2020, but the regional differences of the two systems are both shrinking. In
spatial and temporal dimensions, the eight cities(counties) in Hefei metropolitan area generally show an upward trend
with fluctuations, and the coupling level evolves from being on the verge of imbalance to intermediate coordination.
The specific spatial evolution law is "convex"— "high in the middle, low in the north and south"— "concave"; The
coupling coordination degree of each member of Hefei metropolitan area is dynamically simulated. The simulation
results of all cities(counties) are good except Hefei, which reflects that the coupling coordination degree will develop
to a high level in the future. The research results of this paper can provide reference for Hefei metropolitan area to
promote sustainable tourism development and ecological civilization construction.
LU Ju, FU Wei, WU Jie-fang
. A Study on the Coupling Coordination and Prediction of Ecological Economy and Tourism Economy in Hefei Metropolitan Area[J]. Journal of Chaohu University, 2022
, 24(5)
: 30
-38
.
DOI: 10.12152/j.issn.1672-2868.2022.05.004