强制猥亵犯罪作为典型情景式犯罪，情景犯罪预防的五大策略在理论上均能应用于强制猥亵犯罪的预防。 基于全国 1434 份判决书的 1508 个循证样本显示：犯罪主体上，男性作案率远高于女性，年龄有青年化集中趋势，文化程度较低，职业以无业、务农和务工为主；被害人有未成年发展趋势；犯罪时空上，我国中部和东部地区，特别是沿海发达省份以及中部人口密度大的省份案发风险高，春末夏初季节的 19 时至 5 时案发率较高，犯罪地点集中在相对封闭的居住场所、娱乐场所以及人烟稀少的街道。在犯罪循证预防方法的指导下，基于情景犯罪预防理论，提出增加猥亵犯罪阻力、减少猥亵犯罪刺激、提升猥亵犯罪风险、降低猥亵犯罪收益、消除猥亵犯罪借口等针对性犯罪预防措施来减少强制猥亵犯罪案件的发生。
Compulsory indecency is a typical situational crime, and the five major strategies of situational crime prevention can be applied in theory to the prevention of compulsory indecency. The 1,508 evidence-based samples show that: About criminal subjects, the crime rate of male is much higher than that of female; the subjects to be young, with low education level; most of them are unemployed or work in agricultural or labor sector; as for the victims, there is the trend towards the underage victims; in terms of crime time and space, the central and eastern regions in China, especially the coastal developed provinces and the provinces with high population density in the central region, have a high crime risk; the crime rate is relatively high from 19:00 to 5:00 in late spring and early summer, and the crime places are concentrated in relatively closed residential places, entertainment places and
empty streets. Under the guidance of evidence-based crime prevention method, based on the theory of situational crime prevention, this paper puts forward several crime prevention measures to reduce the occurrence of compulsory indecency, such as increasing the obstacles to indecency, reducing the stimulation of indecency, improving the risk of indecency, reducing the benefit of indecency and eliminating the excuses for indecency.
